Woodzy wrote:

lcarreau wrote:Please tell some of those storms to dump some white stuff in Arizona.

We're in a world of hurt if it doesn't dump on the cactus really soon !!!

its already snowing in Flagstaff!

Right on, Alex! Somebody told me that you should be getting at least two feet up there!

Well, time to throw another yule log on the fire, and get out that flask of spiced eggnog.

lcarreau wrote:Please tell some of those storms to dump some white stuff in Arizona.

We're in a world of hurt if it doesn't dump on the cactus really soon !!!

Watch what you wish for, 2' of snow with 50mph winds will make life fun tonight.

CClaude wrote:

lcarreau wrote:Please tell some of those storms to dump some white stuff in Arizona.

We're in a world of hurt if it doesn't dump on the cactus really soon !!!

Watch what you wish for, 2' of snow with 50mph winds will make life fun tonight.

I know ... I had to put the hood back on my parka.

Hope I have enough yule logs and spiced eggnog to get through this !!!

lcarreau wrote:

CClaude wrote:

lcarreau wrote:Please tell some of those storms to dump some white stuff in Arizona.

We're in a world of hurt if it doesn't dump on the cactus really soon !!!

Watch what you wish for, 2' of snow with 50mph winds will make life fun tonight.

I know ... I had to put the hood back on my parka.

Hope I have enough llamas and spiced eggnog to get through this !!!

lcarreau wrote:

CClaude wrote:

lcarreau wrote:Please tell some of those storms to dump some white stuff in Arizona.

We're in a world of hurt if it doesn't dump on the cactus really soon !!!

Watch what you wish for, 2' of snow with 50mph winds will make life fun tonight.

I know ... I had to put the hood back on my parka.

Hope I have enough yule logs and spiced eggnog to get through this !!!

Blizzard warning. Great. It's nasty as hell out there.

...maybe I'll go climb Agassiz.

This weekend I am definitely going up. Perhaps I will see you there...

Andinistaloco wrote:

lcarreau wrote:

CClaude wrote:

lcarreau wrote:Please tell some of those storms to dump some white stuff in Arizona.

We're in a world of hurt if it doesn't dump on the cactus really soon !!!

Watch what you wish for, 2' of snow with 50mph winds will make life fun tonight.

I know ... I had to put the hood back on my parka.

Hope I have enough yule logs and spiced eggnog to get through this !!!

Blizzard warning. Great. It's nasty as hell out there.

...maybe I'll go climb Agassiz.

Will definitely be out playing this weekend, also. Keep an eye out for the orange.

-L

MooseTracks wrote:Will definitely be out playing this weekend, also. Keep an eye out for the orange.

-L

Where?

The latest 12Z GFS Runs for this weekend:

Jimini, look at the wind spikes! Good times.

Chief, PM me, but local.

TheOrglingLlama wrote:

lcarreau wrote:

CClaude wrote:

lcarreau wrote:Please tell some of those storms to dump some white stuff in Arizona.

We're in a world of hurt if it doesn't dump on the cactus really soon !!!

Watch what you wish for, 2' of snow with 50mph winds will make life fun tonight.

I know ... I had to put the hood back on my parka.

Hope I have enough WEASELS and spiced eggnog to get through this !!!

TheOrglingLlama wrote:

Yes, don't we all wish we had enough llamas to get us through the week!

About 20 inches of really low water content snow here in Tahoe at lake level. Chief is right, looks like the storms for Thursday Friday will move south, but longer range shows a significant system moving in next Saturday through Wednesday.

These new systems will be warmer and thus higher water content. The recent very dry snow, sitting on some very hard underlying layers combined with potential loading of the new heavier snow could produce some significant activity. Plenty of wind loading as well from this recent storm.

The cold snap we will get the next couple of days will limit the bonding of this recent storm.

It will be interesting to see what activity occurs in the next few weeks. Keep this dry weak layer in mind for some time to come.

Be careful.

Here in Pine Valley, CA, at 3,750 feet, temp is 41 with average winds out of the N and gusty up to 25. Started raining around 5:30 this morning and within 12 hours brought 2.85 inches! Although it is not currently raining, more is expected tonight, maybe the heaviest yet. With the next system not far away, SoCal is looking at serious mudslide potential. Exciting stuff.

Yep. Just as we thought

SAC - 12/12/09

Deep slab instability is expected to occur in below treeline areas as the October 19 facet layer and possibly the November 22 thin rain crust/facet layer become overloaded by significant accumulation of higher density new snow during the next 24 hours. A variety of weak layers are known to exist near treeline and below treeline in the lower and middle portions of the snowpack near and above 7,000' on NE wind protected NW-N-NE aspects throughout the forecast area. These weak layers vary by location and individual slopes, taking the form of either basal facets (Sierra Crest and Carson Range), facets on top of the early October basal ice mass (Sierra Crest and Carson Range above 8,600'), and as small faceted crystals on top of the thin Nov 22 rain crust (Sierra Crest only up to 9,000'). Stability tests and fracture propagation tests performed over the past several days indicate that significant avalanche activity is possible below treeline once these weak layers become overloaded and snowpack failure occurs. This is a situation that is unusual for this region. Backcountry travelers cannot afford to be lulled into a sense of security below treeline at this time.