Bigger restrictions are likely to come from the closure of the areas near the South Loop Trail for the upgrades of the parking lots and picnic area. You may be required to park at the first turnout left, on the way to the Mary Jane Falls trailhead, if you go to Cathedral Rock. For that reason, check with the rangers in Kyle Canyon. http://gomtcharleston.com/conditions.html
I can recall just 3 days in 14 years when the trails were closed because of fire restrictions, and those were from actual fires.
When you get closer to the time, contact me. If the year stays low-snow, you may have an easier time with the North Loop Trail off the Deer Creek Road; starts at 8500', and you can make the 10000' ridge, Fletcher Peak, or RainTree your destrinations. I live 45 minutes from the trailheads, and am in that area a lot (e.g., I am not too fond of Charleston Peak, but have been up there 30x by 13 routes). If you have an HC vehicle, you can start for Griffith Peak at the Harris Springs TH at 8500', and avoid the SLT mess, and have a trail with 2600' gain.
Really, a lot of options depend on your conditioning and comfort with off-trail travel. When you start at 8500', you may immediately run out of breath, if you come from Wisconsin.