Keep reading on, Doug....
"Temperature and precipitation impacts over the United States are typically weak during the Northern Hemisphere summer and early fall, generally strengthening during the late fall and winter".....
And this from the 14 Sept 09 NOAA ENSO CYCLE update:
•El Niño is present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
•Sea surface temperatures (SST) remain +0.5 to +1.5ºC above-average across much of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
•Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Niño is expected to strengthen and last through Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.
Oh yeah, not a matter of winning squat Doug.... Just looking into, researching and ingesting all of the "Rest of the Entire Story".