arbitton wrote:I saw him heading east on the PCT, nearing Blue Lakes Road (east of the Nipple), Saturday around 9:30am. I've already been in contact with his wife and the detective on his case.
hmm ... i failed to incorporate this into my earlier thinking.
i created a list of peaks 10mi radius around brad's car to make it easier to see which peaks he might have been considering:
http://www.peakbagger.com/list.aspx?lid=-932271&cid=15459#ListMapso assuming he picked up the nipple, and then was on the PCT east(south) of the nipple when arbitton spotted him, then that opens up a possibility of 8445 south of BLR. it seems less likely he'd head across BLR to either jeff davis or markleeville. JD being a technical climb it seems unlikely he'd attempt it solo, and if he were to combine peaks on the east of BLR then i could see a markleeville + thornburg combo as a more likely long day hike, and it would be unlikely to start that hike from UBL. so that leaves me with 8445.
i drew up a map of options involving nipple + 8445:
https://caltopo.com/m/6VG5nipple + 8445 + return to car: 12mi + 2500' ... well within reason.
if instead he continued clockwise around the loop and added in 9205 to that: 16mi + 4000' still pretty reasonable for finishing before dark, given the 9:30am spotting by arbitton.
adding in deadwood on that loop would enter the very unlikely territory, and that's already been searched significantly.
the thing is: i'm not aware of anything dangerous between nipple and 8445... there is some enjoyable cross-country (see my descent
http://www.peakbagger.com/climber/ascent.aspx?aid=585380) which includes a bunch of easy scrambling... but since arbitton indicates "nearing BLR" it seems more likely he went for the trail.