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PostPosted: Thu Dec 17, 2009 4:44 am
by The Chief
etsnyd wrote:
peladoboton wrote:kind of reminds me of gthe politics and coruption that came along with and actually delayed the discovery of HIV as the cause of AIDS.

i give it 10 years before we have any real clue as to what actually is going on with climate change, and it wouldn't surprise me if it was 50.


Back in the '80's, Hansen said it would be 10 years before it was clear. Then in the '90's, it was another 10 years. I guess these guys think it's clear right now. To me and many others, it's not.

Lindzen of MIT said that in 20 years, shen none of the dire predictions come true, nobody will be talking about it at all, and looking back on it, everyone will think we were crazy to be so hysterical about AGW in the early 21st century.


Let us not forget that Hansen was one of the original IMPENDING ICE AGE RAGERS in the early 70's.

Lindzen has consistently been a voice of reason regarding this whole issue since he rose up back in the 80's countering Hansen's cries of "Hot" doom.

PostPosted: Thu Dec 17, 2009 2:09 pm
by Charles
Now this is rich - people sympathising with the Russians complaianing about the manipulation of information - the RUSSIANS no less! :D

PostPosted: Thu Dec 17, 2009 2:41 pm
by Ejnar Fjerdingstad
Andinistaloco wrote:
mrh wrote:
Andinistaloco wrote:
mrh wrote:
Andinistaloco wrote:
Ejnar Fjerdingstad wrote:Selecting the data that prove what you want to find - a mortal sin in science.


That's very true. I bet only one side of the debate does it, too...
:wink:


Probably true since the other side is largely locked out of publishing.


It's entirely possible to select only data which prove what you want to find, without publishing anything whatsoever.


Certainly. But then you are largely working from the outside and people will dismiss you with comments like, "but he isn't in a peer reviewed journal" and ignore you whether you were a good scientist or did something curious with the data.


I see the point you're making, but don't quite agree. I doubt that whether or not someone's research is accepted matters to you - your opinion isn't going to change based on that, nor will most other peoples'.

I'm even fairly certain that certain people - many on this site :wink: - couldn't care less if 99% of the scientists in the world were in favor of global warming - they've made up your minds and that's that. Likewise, there are certainly people who couldn't care less if the reverse was true and all educated opinion was that global warming didn't exist.

The beauty of partisanship, as I see it, is that there's no need to research and form your own opinion on anything; there's a ready-made set of opinions out there waiting for you.


You are being quite naive here. What about Climategate? Whoever leaked these E-mails certainly didn't invent their content. Unfortunately for you, that was done by the 'peer-reviewed scientists' supporting AGW (and we know how much those peer reviews stink). How can you possibly overlook that? And why did they invent the completely unfounded "The Himalayan Glaciers are Melting" scare (based on a few unpublished (anecdotal?) results), why did the IPCC accept such tripe? These are facts that simply cannot be explained away. Even if all opponents of AGW were proved to be paid by Exxon, those questions will still remain. For the AGW side in effect dug their own grave, we are just pointing it out.

PostPosted: Thu Dec 17, 2009 6:13 pm
by Andinistaloco
Ejnar Fjerdingstad wrote:
Andinistaloco wrote:
mrh wrote:
Andinistaloco wrote:
mrh wrote:
Andinistaloco wrote:
Ejnar Fjerdingstad wrote:Selecting the data that prove what you want to find - a mortal sin in science.


That's very true. I bet only one side of the debate does it, too...
:wink:


Probably true since the other side is largely locked out of publishing.


It's entirely possible to select only data which prove what you want to find, without publishing anything whatsoever.


Certainly. But then you are largely working from the outside and people will dismiss you with comments like, "but he isn't in a peer reviewed journal" and ignore you whether you were a good scientist or did something curious with the data.


I see the point you're making, but don't quite agree. I doubt that whether or not someone's research is accepted matters to you - your opinion isn't going to change based on that, nor will most other peoples'.

I'm even fairly certain that certain people - many on this site :wink: - couldn't care less if 99% of the scientists in the world were in favor of global warming - they've made up your minds and that's that. Likewise, there are certainly people who couldn't care less if the reverse was true and all educated opinion was that global warming didn't exist.

The beauty of partisanship, as I see it, is that there's no need to research and form your own opinion on anything; there's a ready-made set of opinions out there waiting for you.


You are being quite naive here. What about Climategate? Whoever leaked these E-mails certainly didn't invent their content. Unfortunately for you, that was done by the 'peer-reviewed scientists' supporting AGW (and we know how much those peer reviews stink). How can you possibly overlook that? And why did they invent the completely unfounded "The Himalayan Glaciers are Melting" scare (based on a few unpublished (anecdotal?) results), why did the IPCC accept such tripe? These are facts that simply cannot be explained away. Even if all opponents of AGW were proved to be paid by Exxon, those questions will still remain. For the AGW side in effect dug their own grave, we are just pointing it out.


Ejnar, it's good to be excercising my sleepy brain against your clever (but generally word-twisting) arguments once again. How are ya?

If you read my entire posts, instead of just reading parts of them, you'll see I made no judgment on "Climategate"; nor have I weighed in on the issue in any manner which would lead you to assume such events are "unfortunate" for me or that I "overlooked" anything.

The point I made, first, is that both sides of the debate look first at what they want to see and then try to make data fit into it - this is elementary and it would be very silly indeed for you to assume that it's only happening on one side. The reason you crow about it of course is because you favor the other side. But it's tantamount to screaming that all republican politicians are corrupt - because obviously politicians on both sides of the aisle are corrupt.

The point I made second is that most folks - such as yourself - already have their minds made up and the evidence at this point hardly matters to such people... insofar as you will continue to ignore anything that disagrees with your view and trumpet that which agrees with it.

Those were my points. I imagine it would be more difficult to disprove them than it would be to invent an opinion I did not express and then argue against that.

PostPosted: Thu Dec 17, 2009 11:08 pm
by Ejnar Fjerdingstad
Andinistaloco wrote:
Ejnar Fjerdingstad wrote:
Andinistaloco wrote:
mrh wrote:
Andinistaloco wrote:
mrh wrote:
Andinistaloco wrote:
Ejnar Fjerdingstad wrote:Selecting the data that prove what you want to find - a mortal sin in science.


That's very true. I bet only one side of the debate does it, too...
:wink:


Probably true since the other side is largely locked out of publishing.


It's entirely possible to select only data which prove what you want to find, without publishing anything whatsoever.


Certainly. But then you are largely working from the outside and people will dismiss you with comments like, "but he isn't in a peer reviewed journal" and ignore you whether you were a good scientist or did something curious with the data.


I see the point you're making, but don't quite agree. I doubt that whether or not someone's research is accepted matters to you - your opinion isn't going to change based on that, nor will most other peoples'.

I'm even fairly certain that certain people - many on this site :wink: - couldn't care less if 99% of the scientists in the world were in favor of global warming - they've made up your minds and that's that. Likewise, there are certainly people who couldn't care less if the reverse was true and all educated opinion was that global warming didn't exist.

The beauty of partisanship, as I see it, is that there's no need to research and form your own opinion on anything; there's a ready-made set of opinions out there waiting for you.


You are being quite naive here. What about Climategate? Whoever leaked these E-mails certainly didn't invent their content. Unfortunately for you, that was done by the 'peer-reviewed scientists' supporting AGW (and we know how much those peer reviews stink). How can you possibly overlook that? And why did they invent the completely unfounded "The Himalayan Glaciers are Melting" scare (based on a few unpublished (anecdotal?) results), why did the IPCC accept such tripe? These are facts that simply cannot be explained away. Even if all opponents of AGW were proved to be paid by Exxon, those questions will still remain. For the AGW side in effect dug their own grave, we are just pointing it out.


Ejnar, it's good to be excercising my sleepy brain against your clever (but generally word-twisting) arguments once again. How are ya?

If you read my entire posts, instead of just reading parts of them, you'll see I made no judgment on "Climategate"; nor have I weighed in on the issue in any manner which would lead you to assume such events are "unfortunate" for me or that I "overlooked" anything.

The point I made, first, is that both sides of the debate look first at what they want to see and then try to make data fit into it - this is elementary and it would be very silly indeed for you to assume that it's only happening on one side. The reason you crow about it of course is because you favor the other side. But it's tantamount to screaming that all republican politicians are corrupt - because obviously politicians on both sides of the aisle are corrupt.

The point I made second is that most folks - such as yourself - already have their minds made up and the evidence at this point hardly matters to such people... insofar as you will continue to ignore anything that disagrees with your view and trumpet that which agrees with it.

Those were my points. I imagine it would be more difficult to disprove them than it would be to invent an opinion I did not express and then argue against that.


Even if you could prove that the AGW critics were just as corrupt, and good luck with that, that would not at all save the AGW'ers from having done what I summarized above. It would simply prove that then there were two corrupt groups of people, it could never wash the AGW'ers clean. Science is not politics, you cannot just answer a disclosure of major breaks of correct scientific practices, and misrepresentations of 'results' with a "tu quoque". If something is bad science, it remains bad science whatever its critics might have done themselves.

PostPosted: Thu Dec 17, 2009 11:52 pm
by Andinistaloco
Hey dude, mostly climbing in Sedona and working a lot. No mucho. Climb anything fun lately?

PostPosted: Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:44 pm
by ktnbs
Copenhagen bombshell? and I thought there would be photos of a Danish blonde.

PostPosted: Fri Dec 18, 2009 2:39 pm
by Snidely Whiplash
ktnbs wrote:Copenhagen bombshell? and I thought there would be photos of a Danish blonde.


Hey, this is an intellectual site!