Wow. I didn't realize how many people were checking this thread. Sounds great. To clarify: I wasn't criticizing anyone for not posting anything on this thread, I was just concerned that no one was actually reading it and we were wasting our time. That's not the case, so I'll try to post each time I tour from now on and stay up on it.
PS... how do your observations correlate with the Utah Avy Center reports?
This year, I think they're pretty accurate from day to day with a few exceptions. You've also got to understand that avy forecasts are supposed to be general and conditions always vary greatly by aspect, elevation, location, etc. We're having a very atypical Wasatch snowpack so far this year, and it's been much more dangerous and complex than normal. I think they're doing a good job of hitting that theme in their reports this year, but I also understand the criticism that some people have that they scare people too much. It's a fine line, to be sure, and you've got to remember that they have to cater to the lowest common denominator. On the other hand, if I were a novice, I'd probably assume most days this winter that it's too dangerous to even go into the mountains from reading the UAC report. Like I said, it's a fine line, and I'm not sure what I'd do if I were forecasting for lots of people like the UAC.
Posted: Sat Feb 20, 2010 4:37 pm
