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As El Niño grows stronger, so does hope for a wet winter...

Regional discussion and conditions reports for the Golden State. Please post partners requests and trip plans in the California Climbing Partners forum.

Postby Deleted User » Sat Nov 28, 2009 4:45 pm

Well, the first real snow is here.
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Postby Clark_Griswold » Sat Nov 28, 2009 6:11 pm

It is? It's sunny outside.
What are you getting in the LA Mountains?
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Postby KathyW » Sat Nov 28, 2009 10:40 pm

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Postby tiogap » Sun Nov 29, 2009 5:14 am

as of 6pm on 11/28, June Lake had two feet of new smow on the ground
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Postby peninsula » Mon Nov 30, 2009 12:27 pm

After something like 160 days, San Diego received some measurable precipitation! It was not much, but hopefully El Niño will not overlook this thirsty end of the state.
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Postby The Chief » Tue Dec 01, 2009 6:18 am

It's coming Big Time!

I say starting this upcoming Sunday and it will last for upwards of 10 days or so with a serious of several very wet and strong storms.

Be careful for what ya'll ask for.....
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Postby butitsadryheat » Tue Dec 01, 2009 6:28 am

We hope so. What do you see in the forecasts?
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Postby dyusem » Tue Dec 01, 2009 2:30 pm

A very good resource for determining Eastern Sierra (especially Mammoth Pass) weather is the discussion out of the NWS office in Monterey:

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/forecasts/displ ... tr&pil=afd

and the Dweebs:

http://izotz.com/dweebreport/

I've lived in Mammoth Lakes and Mill Valley for many years and there is almost an exact correlation to rainfall on the NE side of Mt. Tam and storms that pass through (and get hung-up) in Mammoth Pass (i.e. 1" rain in Mill Valley = 12" of Sierra Cement).
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Postby Deleted User » Tue Dec 01, 2009 6:18 pm

jhodlof wrote:It is? It's sunny outside.
What are you getting in the LA Mountains?


JUST KIDDING

Nah, it's mostly gone now from the south slopes. Wind and less-than-totally-awesome (read: cold) weather.
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Postby jrbrenvt » Tue Dec 01, 2009 8:03 pm

To California folks longing for rain and gloomy weather --> You're welcome.

I have a planned trip from my home in New England to southern California to run the SB marathon on 12/6 and stick around the following week to hike and explore the area and enjoy that famous California sunshine. My planned trip is to be there from 12/5 through 12/11. Hence the crappy weather next week. The forecast I see is for rain everyday starting Sunday, lasting at least until when I leave Friday. How accurate are these forecasts ? I am considering eating my airline ticket and registration fee and getting some work done around home, I assume the inside of a cloud looks the same from the top of Baldy or Gaviota peak as it does from Camel's Hump in Vt, an hour drive from my house. Not really a question here, just a general self pity post :-( .
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Postby 1000Pks » Tue Dec 01, 2009 8:13 pm

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Postby butitsadryheat » Wed Dec 02, 2009 1:27 am

Our local meteorologist discussed the next couple of weeks last night. Apparently, there is a high pressure system that is going to park itself over Alaska for the next couple of weeks and form an "Omega" shaped block, and shove the jet stream over SoCal. This will, according to him, create just what Chief said; a series of storms, one after another; a sort of Pineapple Express, bringing rainy weather to us rain-starved Southern Californians (with rather low snow levels) for the next couple of weeks. It will, according to him, soak all of the Southwest, especially southern CA, AZ, NM, and of course, the general Houston area, so MikeTx will be underwater (again) :lol:

Sorry to ruin your trip.

But for us? WooHoo!
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Postby The Chief » Wed Dec 02, 2009 4:27 am

It is going to dump white shit outta the sky for well over a week.

14-19" QPF equates to 14 to 19 FEET OF WHITE CONCRETE!


Holy Shit, here I go again....
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Postby KathyW » Mon Jan 04, 2010 5:00 pm

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Postby David Senesac » Mon Jan 11, 2010 11:58 pm

NWS long range is finally about to raise the El Nino jetstream flag for the first time this season starting as the Martin Luther King weekend wanes. If that comes to pass, this following week could finally bring in some big weather. So far this year outside the one big mid October storm, this winter has been rather droughty. Lots of small storms piddling on the north part of the state making surface mud. This winter has reminded me of a few of our drier years like those in the late 80s. Some winters the jetstream will move south into California only once or twice during January/February period. We'll get a series of big storms that drops most of the winter's precip before the jetstream moves back north and then rest of the winter goes back to dry. However we've also had a few winters where the first half was dry and then flip flopped into a long wet pattern.

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http://www.davidsenesac.com
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